Biden vs Trump. My first election forecast.

Image for post
Image for post

The Election Day approaching it is Tuesday, November 3, 2020. Closed the first debate, the two candidates, Mister Joe Biden and Mister Donald Trump, have both launched attacks for the last votes and to gain the undecideds.

The first debate has been catastrophic, for people, for electors of both parties but also politics in general. President Trump tried to instigate a fight all the time. But despite this, former Vice President Joe Biden managed to highlight some relevant issues and to cause difficulties for “a liar and a racist” opponent.
So we know Trump refused to denounce white supremacists, he refused to release his tax returns, said in fact that want to control the Supreme Court to gain a personal advantage, tried to undermine public confidence in the integrity of the election.

Mister Joe Biden has resisted the attacks, the Trump’s rudeness, and did not fall for the fight trap. In my opinion, he neither has been Presidential entirely, but without a doubt, he has been more than his opponent.

I await with interest the next debate.

Now, by collecting information about the elections, the polls, the political feel of American, I have made my first forecast of foreign electoral results.
As seen in the image below, my forecast shows Democrat former Vice President Joe Biden at a significant advantage over Republican President Donald Trump.

Image for post
Image for post

To illustrate the result, I used the map format of Real Clear Politics with the same logic for gradation of color from darker to lighter: solid, likely, leans. Of course, the blue is for Biden/Democrat, the red for Trump/Republican, and the grey for the toss-up.

I was surprised by the number of undecided voters, but a lot can happen between now and November 3.

What do you think?

Dreamer | Slash worker: project supervisor, project manager, independent photographer, consultant | UpNõu OÜ Founder. https://about.me/cettilipari

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store